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A Minute of Science

The Surprising Reason AI Can’t Predict Primes—and What It Means

by AMOS
September 30, 2024
Reading Time: 4 mins read
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The enigmatic nature of prime numbers has fascinated mathematicians for centuries. Recent developments using maximum entropy methods are shedding new light on probabilistic number theory, offering fresh insights into age-old theorems and the challenges machines face in learning primes.


The Foundation: Kolmogorov Complexity and Algorithmic Randomness

To appreciate the intersection of maximum entropy and number theory, it’s essential to understand Kolmogorov complexity and algorithmic randomness. Kolmogorov complexity measures the shortest possible description of a string in a fixed universal language, typically represented by a universal Turing machine. If a string cannot be compressed into a shorter program than itself, it is considered algorithmically random or incompressible.

Kolmogorov’s Invariance Theorem

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Kolmogorov’s Invariance Theorem states that the complexity of a string is invariant up to a constant, regardless of the universal Turing machine used. This means the complexity measure is robust and doesn’t depend significantly on the computational model chosen.

Levin’s Universal Distribution

Levin introduced the concept of a universal distribution, connecting Kolmogorov complexity with probability. In essence, the probability of generating a string is inversely proportional to its complexity. This formalizes Occam’s razor in computational terms: simpler explanations (or shorter programs) are more probable.


Maximum Entropy and Number Theory

The principle of maximum entropy states that, without additional information, the probability distribution which best represents the current state of knowledge is the one with the largest entropy. This principle can be applied to number theory to derive known theorems and gain new insights.

Erdős–Euclid Theorem via Information Theory

Traditionally, Euclid’s theorem proves the infinitude of primes. Using information theory, we assume a finite set of primes and calculate the entropy of integers constructed from these primes. The entropy calculations show inconsistencies unless the number of primes grows with N, reinforcing that there must be infinitely many primes.

Chebyshev’s Theorem and Entropy

Chebyshev’s theorem approximates the distribution of prime numbers. By considering the maximum entropy distribution of integers and their prime factors, one can derive Chebyshev’s result using information-theoretic arguments. This approach links the average Kolmogorov complexity of integers with their prime factorization.

Hardy–Ramanujan Theorem Revisited

The Hardy–Ramanujan theorem states that the number of distinct prime factors of a number n (denoted ω(n)) follows a normal distribution for large n. Using entropy and the independence of prime factors, we can derive a version of this theorem. The variance and expected value of ω(n) can be calculated, showing that most numbers have about log log N prime factors.


Machines Learning Primes: The Challenges

Algorithmic Randomness of Primes

From an information-theoretic perspective, prime numbers exhibit patterns that are algorithmically random. This means that no shorter description (or algorithm) can predict the sequence of primes efficiently, posing a significant challenge for machine learning models.

Experimental Observations

Studies, such as those by Y.-H. He, have shown that machine learning models struggle to predict primes beyond what would be expected by random chance. This is because the distribution of primes doesn’t provide enough regularity for algorithms to learn from, given current computational methods.

Erdős–Kac Law and Machine Learning

The Erdős–Kac law further illustrates the randomness in number theory, stating that the number of prime factors of a large integer follows a normal distribution. Machine learning models, which excel in finding patterns in data, are unlikely to “discover” such statistical laws due to the inherent randomness and the vast computational resources required.


Implications and Conclusions

Limits of Computational Induction

The difficulty machines face in learning primes underscores the limits of computational induction. While machine learning is powerful, it relies on patterns and structures within data. The algorithmic randomness of primes means such patterns are minimal or non-existent.

The Role of Maximum Entropy

Applying maximum entropy methods provides a new lens to understand probabilistic number theory. It allows mathematicians to derive classical theorems using modern computational concepts, bridging the gap between abstract mathematics and information theory.

Future Directions

While current machine learning techniques may not unravel the mysteries of primes, ongoing research in computational number theory and information theory could pave the way for new approaches. Understanding the limitations is the first step toward overcoming them.

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